How Shops Decide on Prices

📈 Economics Years 4–6 Foundation

Why does the hottest new toy sell out and cost more at Christmas, while last summer's toy sits on the shelf on sale? A gentle first look at supply and demand.

Open this lesson, with practice and a printable worksheet →

Every December, one toy seems to be all anyone wants. Shops sell out fast, and sometimes the price creeps up. A few months later, the same toy might be on the sale shelf, much cheaper. Why does this happen?

Why this matters: Prices are not picked at random. They usually rise and fall because of how much people want something, compared with how much of it there is — and this affects almost everything you buy.

Two words: demand and supply

WordMeaning
DemandHow much people want to buy something
SupplyHow much of something is available to buy

When lots of people want a toy (high demand) but shops only have a few left (low supply), the toy becomes hard to get — and its price often goes up. When hardly anyone wants a toy any more (low demand) but shops still have plenty left (high supply), shops often lower the price to encourage people to buy it.

Popular Christmas toyDemandSupplyPrice goes UPOld, unwanted toyDemandSupplyPrice goes DOWN

A lemonade stand on a hot day

Imagine you run a lemonade stand. On a boiling hot day, everyone walking past is thirsty — demand is high. If you only have a few cups left (low supply), you could charge a bit more and people would still buy it. On a cold, rainy day, hardly anyone wants cold lemonade — demand is low — so even if you have plenty left, you might have to lower the price just to sell any at all.

Put these Christmas-toy events in the order they usually happen:

  1. An exciting new toy is advertised on TV
  2. Lots of children want it for Christmas — demand shoots up
  3. Shops run low on stock — supply gets scarce
  4. The price rises, and it sells out fast

It works both ways

The same idea explains sales: after Christmas, demand for that toy usually drops a lot, but shops may still have boxes left over. To clear the shelves, they lower the price — that is why you often see "half price" signs in January!

Next time you see something on sale, ask yourself: has demand dropped, or is there simply too much supply? Often it is both.
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